The rarity of creating a youth of "promising" or higher is ridiculous.Sachin United wrote:Over the past 12 months, I have gone through a conservative estimate of 1,000 newly created players (untrained + my own youths, 52 weeks x 20/week). During which none were rated promising or higher. Would say 99.8% of them were garbage, with 0.2% (20 out of 1000, or 1 every ~3 weeks) somewhat sellable meaning 500k+Teufel hunden wrote:Well, it looks like my ambition of staying up this week is not going well. But I'll get relegated and toss a few games to make 3rd place for a few more weeks until I can confidently compete at the next level.
However, I am a skeptic on the naming your own players, I've tried and somehow done worse than if I don't name them at all. I've had one super and that's it.. 3 sold for more than 5 million, but that's out of 40+ pages of youth created. I'd say I'm still doing better than clubs that have been here much longer than me on the youth page because I know there are some who have yet to create even a single super.
Hoping the new update brings me better luck
Think about it like this. The general statistics say that there are a bit over 9 million players in this game. And only maybe 15,000 of those will ever be good enough to play division 1 level (roughly 3000 players currently in division 1 based on 14 leagues and 16 teams per with a starting 11 and a backup or two right now) so counting the ones active in division one, and multiplying by about 4 (based on 28-33 being active in D1, 24-27 as the next group to step in, 19-23 behind them and <19 behind that each supposedly having a similar number of that level talents) that comes out to around .15% of youths are "supers" meaning roughly 1/650 created each week would fall into that category.
I understand that it's not like your team has a running percentage on making a super, so the distribution is more weighted on when youths are created. Each youth has an equal chance to be in that category, but sadly not all will make it.
Please be aware that my numbers here are all estimates and not an accurate representation of where the numbers truly lie. But I would be interested in knowing exactly how many youths are created each week and what percentage of those end up being of a promising or higher potential.